While continuing to fuel the climate emergency over the past decade, oil and gas majors relied on misleading messages rather than actually taking action to transition to clean energy, according to research released Wednesday.

“This study confirms what observers have always known about Big Oil’s climate pledges: They’re all hot air.”

The peer-reviewed study, published in the journal PLOS One, focused on two American companies, Chevron and ExxonMobil, as well as two European ones, BP and Shell—the four majors also at the center of an ongoing investigation by a U.S. House panel.

Three researchers at a pair of Japanese universities reviewed data from 2009 to 2020, examining the firms’ keyword use in annual reports; business strategies; and production, expenditures, and earnings for fossil fuels along with investments in clean energy.

“We found a strong increase in discourse related to ‘climate,’ ‘low-carbon,’ and ‘transition,’ especially by BP and Shell,” the paper states. “Similarly, we observed increasing tendencies toward strategies related to decarbonization and clean energy. But these are dominated by pledges rather than concrete actions.”

“Moreover, the financial analysis reveals a continuing business model dependence on fossil fuels along with insignificant and opaque spending on clean energy,” the study adds. “We thus conclude that the transition to clean energy business models is not occurring, since the magnitude of investments and actions does not match discourse.”

The document emphasizes that “until actions and investment behavior are brought into alignment with discourse, accusations of greenwashing appear well-founded.”

Asked about the findings by NPR, spokespeople for the four firms tried to highlight efforts to lower “the carbon intensity in our operations” and invest in “lower-emissions projects.”

Meanwhile, Robert Brulle, a visiting professor at Brown University’s Institute for Environment who was not involved in the research, told Carbon Brief that the “original” study “goes well beyond the existing scholarship in this area by utilizing a long-time series analysis and robust empirical measures.”

“While activists have long asserted these claims, this empirical work by independent scholars empirically demonstrates that these claims are true,” he said. “This is a major contribution to public knowledge of the actions of major oil companies and shows that they are indeed not walking the talk when it comes to addressing climate change.”

Richard Wiles, president of the Center for Climate Integrity, also welcomed the new analysis—which aligns with what experts told the House Committee on Oversight and Reform about Big Oil’s climate pledges earlier this month.

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